Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 松江貓腳印 DTR店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(7.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
10-7-2
overall winrate
57.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.6%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1416
· median 1389
· range 1364–1495
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1245
Q3 1412
1550
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.6% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.9% | +3.0 |
| Water Allies | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Water Genbu | 7.0% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 60.1% | +7.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.0% | -9.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.1 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
